Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)

Referee: Barton I. (Sal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, New World Sport 1, Sporty TV, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Algeria	ENTV
Angola	TPA 2, Z Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN, Mi Telefe, Telefe, TV Publica
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6
Australia	SBS, SBS On Demand
Austria	ORF 1, Servus TV
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	RTBF Tipik, VRT 1
Benin	ORTB
Bolivia	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, Unitel
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV, SporTV
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Cameroon	Canal 2 International, CRTV Sports
Canada	fubo Sports Network, RDS App, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN 5, TSN+
Chad	Tele Tchad
Colombia	Caracol TV, ESPN, RCN Television
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI, RTI 3
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi
Czech-republic	Nova Action, Oneplay
Denmark	DR 1, DR TV, TV2 Play
Dr-congo	RTNC
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
Estonia	ETV 1, ETV+, Go3 Extra Sports, TV3
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, M6
Gabon	Groupe Gabon Televisions
Gambia	GRTS Gambia
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport, ZDF
Ghana	GTV, GTV Sports Plus, TV3
Greece	ERT 1
Guinea	RTG
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV
India	ZEE5
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	Kan 11, Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia, RAI 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazaqstan TV, Qazsport
Kosovo	Klan Kosova
Latvia	TV6
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports, TV3
Madagascar	Malagasy TV
Malaysia	unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	Medianet
Mali	ORTM
Malta	TVM+
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, Las Estrellas, TUDN, ViX Premium
Moldova	Jurnal TV, We Sport
Montenegro	TVCG 1
Mozambique	TVM 1, TV Miramar
Netherlands	NPO 1 Extra, NPO 1, NPO Start
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Niger	ORTN, Tele Sahel
Nigeria	NTA Sports
Pakistan	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	Tigo Sports
Paraguay	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	SIC, Sport TV1, Sport TV5
Republic-of-the-congo	Tele Congo
Romania	AntenaPLAY, Antena
Russia	Match TV
Rwanda	Rwanda TV, Rwanda TV
Senegal	RTS 1, RTS 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport, JOJ
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	JTBC
Spain	DAZN Espana, Teledeporte, TVE La 1
Sweden	SVT 1, SVT Play
Switzerland	M6, M6, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Tanzania	ZBC Tanzania
Togo	TVT
Turkey	TRT 1
Turkmenistan	Turkmenistan Sport
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 310
Usa	AFN Sports, FOX One, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SportsEngine Play, TUDN
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+, DSports 1, Televen
Vietnam	TV 360, VTV Go
Zambia	Sun Sports, ZNBC 1


	France		Spain

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.90	3.10
	2.50	2.95	3.10
	2.60	2.90	3.10
	2.70	2.99	3.16
	2.49	3.26	3.26	Watch
	2.65	2.95	3.10
	2.54	2.95	3.35
	2.55	3.00	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.36)	2.99 ↓ (3.29)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

France
37.3%

Draw
32.2%

Spain
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for France than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spain than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	29.5%	20.5%

France - Spain Predictions

Users Predictions: 108 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 55 - 50.9%). Spain will win (votes: 22 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 31 - 28.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for France: 41.5% – 60.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Spain (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - France (1.74) (votes: 10 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Spain (1.51) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - France (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - France (1.69) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.94) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.25 - Spain (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. France (votes: 22 - 55%). Spain (votes: 12 - 30%). Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Maignan M. (G) AC Milan 5. Kounde J. Barcelona 4. Upamecano D. Bayern Munich 17. Saliba W. Arsenal 3. Digne L. Aston Villa 8. Tchouameni A. Real Madrid 14. Rabiot A. AC Milan 7. Dembele O. PSG 11. Olise M. Bayern Munich 12. Barcola B. PSG 10. Mbappe K. (C) Real Madrid	23. Simon U. (G) Ath Bilbao 12. Porro P. Tottenham 22. Cubarsi P. Barcelona 14. Laporte A. Ath Bilbao 24. Cucurella M. Real Madrid 16. Rodri (C) Manchester City 8. Ruiz F. PSG 19. Lamine Yamal Barcelona 10. Olmo D. Barcelona 15. Baena A. Atl. Madrid 21. Oyarzabal M. Real Sociedad
Substitutes
25. Akliouche M. Monaco 24. Cherki R. Manchester City 20. Doue D. PSG 2. Gusto M. Chelsea 21. Hernandez L. PSG 19. Hernandez T. Al Hilal 13. Kante N. Fenerbahce 15. Konate I. Real Madrid 6. Kone M. AS Roma 26. Lacroix M. Crystal Palace 22. Mateta J. Crystal Palace 23. Risser R. (G) Lens 1. Samba B. (G) Rennes 9. Thuram M. Inter 18. Zaire-Emery W. PSG	4. Garcia E. Barcelona 13. Garcia J. (G) Barcelona 9. Gavi Barcelona 3. Grimaldo A. Atl. Madrid 26. Iglesias B. Celta Vigo 5. Llorente M. Atl. Madrid 6. Merino M. Arsenal 25. Munoz V. Liverpool 20. Pedri Barcelona 11. Pino Y. Crystal Palace 2. Pubill M. Atl. Madrid 1. Raya D. (G) Arsenal 7. Torres F. Barcelona 17. Williams N. Ath Bilbao 18. Zubimendi M. Arsenal
Coaches
Deschamps D.	de la Fuente L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Rabiot A. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Saliba W. ↓, Lacroix M. ↑,
31', Cucurella M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rabiot A. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
57', Barcola B. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Porro P. ⚽, Olmo D. (A),
72', Olise M. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
72', Digne L. ↓, Hernandez T. ↑,
74', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
78', Olmo D. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
78', Ruiz F. ↓, Pedri ↑,
84', Porro P. ↓, Llorente M. ↑,
84', Baena A. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
86', Mbappe K. 🟨,

Preview

France is ranked FIFA: 3. Spain is ranked FIFA: 2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 2.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

France will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, France won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France
FIFA World Cup
09.07.26	France - Morocco	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Paraguay - France	0:1 ✺
30.06.26	France - Sweden	3:0 ✺
26.06.26	Norway - France	1:4 ✺
22.06.26	France - Iraq	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- Spain
FIFA World Cup
10.07.26	Spain - Belgium	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Portugal - Spain	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Spain - Austria	3:0 ✺
26.06.26	Uruguay - Spain	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Spain - Saudi Arabia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
05.06.25	Spain - France	5:4
UEFA Euro
09.07.24	Spain - France	2:1
UEFA Nations League
10.10.21	Spain - France	1:2
Friendly
28.03.17	France - Spain	0:2
04.09.14	France - Spain	1:0
FIFA World Cup
26.03.13	France - Spain	0:1
16.10.12	Spain - France	1:1

France - Spain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide