Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - ROUND 11

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Monjasa Park (Fredericia)

Referee: Kobberrod J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fredericia		Næstved BK

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.52	4.33	5
	1.56	4.5	5	Watch
	1.54	4.7	5.29
				Watch
	1.53	4.65	5.2	Watch
	1.52	4.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.5)	4.47 ↑ (4.33)	5.19 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
61%

Draw
21%

Næstved BK
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

21%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Næstved BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Fredericia - Næstved BK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Mehder F. (G) 18. Juelsgaard J. 4. Fischer M. 14. Christensen F. 16. Bach T. 15. Simonsen E. 8. Wohlgemuth M. 12. Carstensen F. 24. Hetemi L. 10. Rojkjaer N. 11. Jakobsen A.	1. Dannevang N. (G) 32. Holm M. 6. Enemark C. 5. Host M. 22. Overgaard C. J. 14. Madsen J. 10. Dhaflaoui S. 90. Carlson M. 8. Kongstedt M. 11. Ladefoged M. 9. Christensen F.
Substitutes
20. Baekgard S. 21. Berger S. 19. Dall E. 6. Gertsen J. 51. Hojbjerg J. (G) 22. Jessen J. 5. Juhl M. 7. Marcussen G. 2. Ritter N.	4. Bust L. 27. Hassan M. (G) 16. Jorgensen M. 24. Kjaer Mikkelsen V. 3. Lenart W. 12. Madsen S. 17. Njai A. 13. Rygaard B.
Coaches
Hansen M.	Braune P.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 2.

Fredericia in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Næstved is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fredericia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fredericia have a series of guest games.

In this match Fredericia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fredericia to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredericia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fredericia
Danish Landspokal Cup
26.09.23	Aalborg BK - Fredericia	2:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
22.09.23	Kolding IF - Fredericia	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Fredericia - Helsingør	0:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
06.09.23	Dalum IF - Fredericia	1:8 ✺
Danish 1 Division
01.09.23	Vendsyssel - Fredericia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWTWW
- Næstved BK
Danish Landspokal Cup
27.09.23	Næstved BK - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
24.09.23	Næstved BK - Hillerød	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Vendsyssel - Næstved BK	1:1 ✺
04.09.23	Næstved BK - HB Køge	3:3 ✺
25.08.23	Horsens - Næstved BK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.02.23	Næstved BK - Fredericia	0:3
Danish 1 Division
06.11.22	Næstved BK - Fredericia	5:0
29.07.22	Fredericia - Næstved BK	0:1
10.07.20	Fredericia - Næstved BK	3:2
03.11.19	Næstved BK - Fredericia	1:1
11.08.19	Fredericia - Næstved BK	3:1
28.04.19	Næstved BK - Fredericia	1:2

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