Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO SERGIPANO - RELEGATION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Frei Paulistano		Dorense

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	1.88	3.27	3.29
	1.89	3.28	3.96
	1.96	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.75)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)	3.55 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frei Paulistano
47%

Draw
27.7%

Dorense
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frei Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Dorense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frei Paulistano than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Frei Paulistano - Dorense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Campeonato Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs) and 10 in the zone Campeonato Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Frei Paulistano won 1.

Recent matches Frei Paulistano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dorense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Frei Paulistano is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Frei Paulistano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Frei Paulistano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Frei Paulistano
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
19.03.23	Dorense - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
15.03.23	Frei Paulistano - Estanciano	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Itabaiana - Frei Paulistano	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Lagarto - Frei Paulistano	4:0 ✺
18.02.23	Frei Paulistano - Confiança	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LWWLL
- Dorense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
19.03.23	Dorense - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
15.03.23	América de Propriá - Dorense	2:0 ✺
04.03.23	Dorense - Atlético Gloriense	0:0 ✺
27.02.23	Confiança - Dorense	3:2 ✺
18.02.23	Dorense - Estanciano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
19.03.23	Dorense - Frei Paulistano	1:0
11.02.23	Dorense - Frei Paulistano	1:0
21.03.21	Dorense - Frei Paulistano	2:0
22.01.20	Dorense - Frei Paulistano	1:4
23.02.19	Dorense - Frei Paulistano	2:0
28.01.17	Frei Paulistano - Dorense	0:2

Frei Paulistano - Dorense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide