Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Freiburg II		Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.65	2.72
	2.24	3.8	2.91
	2.17	3.72	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.36)	3.72 ↑ (3.64)	2.78 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
41.9%

Draw
24.9%

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

24.8%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.2%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Freiburg II - Barockstadt Fulda Lehnerz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 0, ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Gobel T. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

Freiburg II is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Barockstadt has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Freiburg II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Freiburg II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.09.25	Stuttgarter Kickers - Freiburg II	4:0 ✺
07.09.25	Freiburg II - Schott Mainz	3:3 ✺
31.08.25	Sandhausen - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
24.08.25	Freiburg II - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:4 ✺
16.08.25	Bayern Alzenau - Freiburg II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTTLT
- Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.09.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Astoria Walldorf	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Mainz II - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Bahlinger	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Schott Mainz - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:4 ✺
16.08.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Balingen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.04.25	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Freiburg II	1:0
04.10.24	Freiburg II - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:0

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