Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Freiburg II		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.2
	3.1	3.5	2.15
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.23	3.62	2.27
	3.23	3.62	2.23
	2.9	3.3	2.1
	3.13	3.45	2.13
	2.95	3.3	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.5)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	2.18 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
30.1%

Draw
27.1%

Preußen Münster
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

27.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26.7%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiburg II's form might have worsened.

Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Preußen Münster's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiburg II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Preußen Münster, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.3%	2.1%	93.6%

Freiburg II - Preußen Münster Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Freiburg II will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). Münster will win (votes: 44 - 93.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Münster: 86.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 13. Muller S. 11. Stark J. 19. Bouebari F. 42. Marino L. 8. Lienhard P. 36. Ambros L. 23. Fahrner P. 28. Johansson R. 18. Al Ghaddioui H.	40. Schenk J. (G) 15. Scherder S. 24. Koulis N. 42. Hahn A. 32. Bazzoli L. 27. ter Horst J. 7. Kyerewaa D. 21. Preissinger R. 18. Lorenz M. (C) 23. Batmaz M. 9. Grodowski J.
Substitutes
27. Allgaier F. 25. Bichsel J. 29. Breunig M. 33. Hornung S. (G) 21. Lee Ji-Han 47. Ogbus I. 30. Pellegrino G. 20. Worner M. 48. Yilmaz B.	3. Bockle B. 5. Bouchama Y. 8. Ghindovean D. 10. Oubeyapwa S. 31. Schabbing R. (G) 35. Schulze M. (G) 25. Wegkamp G. 14. Wooten A.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Hildmann S.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Freiburg II is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Münster is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Freiburg II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Münster will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
04.11.23	Dynamo Dresden - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Freiburg II - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	1860 München - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Lübeck - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Freiburg II - Sandhausen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWL
- Preußen Münster
German 3 Bundesliga
05.11.23	Preußen Münster - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Jahn Regensburg - Preußen Münster	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Dynamo Dresden - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Preußen Münster - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Hallescher - Preußen Münster	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLTW

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