Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub


	Dynamo Dresden		Freiburg II

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	7
	1.37	5	7.5
	1.36	4.75	8	Watch
	1.36	5.42	8.94
	1.35	5.42	8.95
	1.29	4.6	8
	1.33	4.95	8	Watch
	1.34	4.6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.58)	4.97 ↑ (3.85)	7.97 ↑ (5.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
69.5%

Draw
18.8%

Freiburg II
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Dresden's performance.

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Dresden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.3%	0%	2.7%

Dynamo Dresden - Freiburg II Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Dresden will win (36 of 37 users predict this - 97.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Drljaca S. (G) 15. Kammerknecht C. 31. Lewald J. 23. Bunning L. 2. Park K. 28. Will P. 19. Herrmann L. 27. Hauptmann N. 10. Lemmer J. 30. Kutschke S. (C) 7. Vlachodimos P.	1. Uphoff B. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 13. Muller S. 5. Rudlin F. 19. Bouebari F. 36. Ambros L. 42. Marino L. 28. Johansson R. 22. Baur M. 11. Stark J. 18. Al Ghaddioui H.
Substitutes
6. Berger T. 29. Borkowski D. 35. Broll K. (G) 39. Ehlers K. 21. Meissner R. 24. Menzel T. 25. Oehmichen J. 11. Seo Jong-min 22. Zimmerschied T.	27. Allgaier F. 25. Bichsel J. 23. Fahrner P. 33. Hornung S. (G) 21. Lee Ji-Han 8. Lienhard P. 3. Lungwitz A. 20. Worner M.
Coaches
Anfang M.	Stamm T.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Dynamo Dresden is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Freiburg II is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Dynamo Dresden is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
21.10.23	Dynamo Dresden - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Ulm 1846 - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
07.10.23	1860 München - Dynamo Dresden	0:0 ✺
04.10.23	Dynamo Dresden - Hallescher	2:1 ✺
01.10.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Dynamo Dresden	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWL
- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
29.10.23	Freiburg II - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	1860 München - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Lübeck - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Freiburg II - Sandhausen	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Freiburg II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
29.04.23	Freiburg II - Dynamo Dresden	1:1
05.11.22	Dynamo Dresden - Freiburg II	1:1

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