Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 13

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Freiburg II		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.63
	2.5	3.4	2.65
	2.5	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.68	3.4	2.49
	2.56	3.59	2.75
	2.4	3.4	2.5
	2.51	3.54	2.57
	2.45	3.3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.4)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	2.6 (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
37%

Draw
27.1%

Erzgebirge Aue
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.1%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.7%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	64.3%	21.4%

Freiburg II - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Freiburg II will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Aue will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uphoff B. (G) 13. Muller S. 25. Bichsel J. 19. Bouebari F. 23. Fahrner P. 27. Allgaier F. 28. Johansson R. 17. Fallmann P. 8. Lienhard P. (C) 22. Baur M. 29. Breunig M.	1. Mannel M. (C) 2. Danhof T. 13. Majetschak E. 4. Vukancic N. 29. Rosenlocher L. 10. Pepic M. 21. Schikora M. 34. Stefaniak M. 14. Tashchy B. 11. Sijaric O. 15. Bar M.
Substitutes
18. Al Ghaddioui H. 33. Hornung S. (G) 14. Knappe D. 21. Lee Ji-Han 3. Lungwitz A. 30. Pellegrino G. 11. Stark J. 20. Worner M.	5. Burger K. 26. Jakob K. 25. Kips T. (G) 9. Meuer S. 24. Nkansah S. 12. Schadlich F. 8. Schwirten J. 7. Seitz S. 30. Thiel M.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Dotchev P.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

The competitors look crappy now.

Freiburg II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
21.10.23	1860 München - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Lübeck - Freiburg II	0:1 ✺
03.10.23	Freiburg II - Sandhausen	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Freiburg II	3:1 ✺
24.09.23	Freiburg II - Ingolstadt	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
22.10.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Ulm 1846	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Viktoria Köln - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
04.10.23	Preußen Münster - Erzgebirge Aue	4:0 ✺
01.10.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Jahn Regensburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
28.01.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Freiburg II	0:0
24.07.22	Freiburg II - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1

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