Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 25

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Sundby Idraetspark (Copenhagen)

Referee: Voergaard A. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fremad Amager		Hobro

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3	3.25	2.15
	3.15	3.35	2.18
	3.33	3.24	2.29
				Watch
	3.2	3.46	2.19	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.6)	3.33 ↑ (3.1)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fremad Amager
29.6%

Draw
28.1%

Hobro
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.1%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

30%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fremad Amager has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fremad Amager's form might have worsened.

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hobro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fremad Amager than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fremad Amager, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hobro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Fremad Amager - Hobro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Amager will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hobro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amager won 1.

Amager is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hobro is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hobro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hobro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Amager won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Amager won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fremad Amager
Danish 1 Division
09.04.23	Fremad Amager - Fredericia	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Hillerød - Fremad Amager	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.23	Fremad Amager - B.93 Copenhagen	3:0 ✺
Danish 1 Division
18.03.23	Fredericia - Fremad Amager	2:1 ✺
11.03.23	Fremad Amager - Helsingør	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL
- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
10.04.23	Hobro - Hillerød	2:1 ✺
02.04.23	HB Køge - Hobro	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Helsingør - Hobro	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Hobro - Hvidovre	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
24.02.23	Fremad Amager - Hobro	2:1
29.09.22	Hobro - Fremad Amager	1:0
07.05.22	Hobro - Fremad Amager	1:1
21.04.22	Fremad Amager - Hobro	0:0
18.03.22	Fremad Amager - Hobro	1:1
01.10.21	Hobro - Fremad Amager	5:0
06.05.21	Hobro - Fremad Amager	2:0

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