Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Niteroiense		Paduano

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.92	3.35
	2.16	2.85	3.43
	1.98	3.08	3.88	Watch
	2.19	2.88	3.36
	2.23	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.23)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	3.44 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niteroiense
42.9%

Draw
30.6%

Paduano
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niteroiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Paduano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niteroiense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paduano than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Niteroiense - Paduano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, ⚽,
83', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B2).

Niteroiense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paduano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Niteroiense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Niteroiense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niteroiense FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
05.11.25	Niteroiense - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Friburguense - Niteroiense	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Campo Grande - Niteroiense	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	2:3 ✺
10.10.25	Artsul - Niteroiense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTLT
- Paduano EC
Brazilian Carioca B1
05.11.25	Paduano - Friburguense	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	São Cristóvão - Paduano	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Duque de Caxias - Paduano	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Paduano - EC Campo Grande	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Bonsucesso - Paduano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Niteroiense - Paduano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide