Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Norra - Round 26

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Skyttis IP (Örnsköldsvik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Friska Viljor		Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	4	1.58
	4.33	4.2	1.6
	4.47	4.4	1.62
	4.38	4.42	1.64	Watch
	4.44	4.25	1.61	Watch
	4.33	4.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.31)	4.25 ↑ (4.2)	1.61 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Friska Viljor
21.1%

Draw
21.7%

Karlstad
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

21.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

20.2%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Friska Viljor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Friska Viljor's form might have worsened.

Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Friska Viljor than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Friska Viljor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Friska Viljor - Karlstad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Backman H. (G) 8. Borgstrom F. 11. Cederblad E. 22. Hagglund S. 4. Kallin L. 6. Nilsson H. 2. Nordin C. 12. Powell J. 15. Sedin I. 14. Siljander F. 25. Svensson A. (C)	1. Karlsson M. (G) 12. Bellander A. (C) 7. Benshi M. 21. Berger E. 17. Dahlqvist H. 18. Ericsson J. 16. Johnsson J. 19. Nilsson King E. 23. Rhose L. 24. Segura Bonilla J. 13. Stankovic F.
Substitutes
45. Biregey E. 98. Gibrill During A. 23. Kovalainen J. 10. Nasmark A. 7. Norrman J. 30. Ulander I. (G) 19. Zerai A.	8. Bjork N. 25. Johansson Bahar F. 27. Riemersma T. 9. Romulo 11. Rydz S. 4. Sonntag W. 26. Yuri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Nordin C. 🟨,
25', Bellander A. 🟨,
28', Segura Bonilla J. 🟨,
39', Borgstrom F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Hagglund S. ↓, Kovalainen J. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Segura Bonilla J. ⚽,
65', Benshi M. ↓, Romulo ↑,
71', Svensson A. ↓, Biregey E. ↑,
71', Powell J. ↓, Norrman J. ↑,
71', Siljander F. ↓, Zerai A. ↑,
83', Segura Bonilla J. ↓, Rydz S. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Karlstad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Karlstad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Friska Viljor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Friska Viljor FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.10.24	Vasalund - Friska Viljor	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Friska Viljor - Hammarby TFF	0:3 ✺
22.09.24	Assyriska Föreningen - Friska Viljor	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	United Nordic - Friska Viljor	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Friska Viljor - Stocksund	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.5 TLWLT
- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.10.24	Karlstad - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
28.09.24	Stocksund - Karlstad	4:1 ✺
22.09.24	Karlstad - Täby	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Hammarby TFF - Karlstad	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	FBK Karlstad - Karlstad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.05.24	Karlstad - Friska Viljor	0:1

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