Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 20

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Frome Town		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.48	3.6	2.39
	2.38	4	2.41
	2.45	3.88	2.5
	2.44	3.54	2.4
	2.48	3.6	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (3.07)	3.69 ↑ (3.62)	2.4 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frome Town
37.3%

Draw
24.7%

Swindon Supermarine
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.2%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

24.8%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frome Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Frome Town's performance.

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Supermarine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frome Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Supermarine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Frome Town - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Monks A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Ferris A. ⚽,
84', 3 - 0, Hopkins A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Frome is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swindon Supermarine is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swindon Supermarine could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Frome have a series of guest games.

Swindon Supermarine will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Frome won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Frome won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
03.12.24	Hanwell Town - Frome Town	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Marlow - Frome Town	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Frome Town - Winchester City	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Sholing - Frome Town	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Merthyr Town - Frome Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTL
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
30.11.24	Totton - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Swindon Supermarine - Marlow	3:1 ✺
16.11.24	Swindon Supermarine - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Chertsey Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:4 ✺
02.11.24	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
26.01.19	Swindon Supermarine - Frome Town	0:4
20.11.18	Frome Town - Swindon Supermarine	1:2

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