The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town 79.7%
Draw 12.7%
Frome Town 7.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
74%
16.4%
9.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Merthyr Town's performance.
Frome Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Merthyr Town - Frome Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Twamley L. ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, Simpson K. ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, Jarvis C. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 0, Rees R. ⚽,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 3.
Merthyr is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Frome is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Frome could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of home games.
In this match Merthyr is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Merthyr won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:16 (average 1.8:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Merthyr won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.5:2.5).