Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 14

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Swindon Supermarine		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.4	2.45
	2.42	3.55	2.47
	2.44	3.9	2.47
	2.4	3.8	2.45
	2.38	3.66	2.4
	2.42	3.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.39)	3.64 ↑ (3.46)	2.45 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Supermarine
37.9%

Draw
25%

Dorchester Town
37.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

26.2%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Swindon Supermarine won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:14 (average 1.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon Supermarine won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
26.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Basingstoke Town	2:2 ✺
22.10.24	Bracknell Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Gosport Borough - Swindon Supermarine	3:2 ✺
15.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Tiverton Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLWW
- Dorchester Town
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Totton - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.24	Dorchester Town - Plymouth Parkway	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Dorchester Town - Hanwell Town	0:3 ✺
15.10.24	Sholing - Dorchester Town	1:5 ✺
12.10.24	Marlow - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
09.12.23	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	1:2
09.09.23	Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1
28.01.23	Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:4
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	1:0
English Southern League South Division
14.09.22	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	3:2
26.02.22	Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1
06.11.21	Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town	1:0

Swindon Supermarine - Dorchester Town