Match Info

SLOVENIA: 2. SNL - ROUND 16

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Fužinar Ravne		Tolmin

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.5
				Watch
	1.81	3.88	3.61
	1.82	3.88	3.61
	1.76	3.78	3.72
	1.88	3.55	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.23)	3.7 ↑ (3.44)	3.59 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fužinar Ravne
50%

Draw
24.6%

Tolmin
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fužinar Ravne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fužinar Ravne's performance.

Tolmin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tolmin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fužinar Ravne than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fužinar Ravne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tolmin than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tolmin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fužinar Ravne - Tolmin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Recent matches Fužinar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tolmin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tolmin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fužinar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fužinar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fužinar Ravne
Slovenian Cup
31.10.23	Starše - Fužinar Ravne	2:4 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
28.10.23	Fužinar Ravne - Beltinci	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Bilje - Fužinar Ravne	5:1 ✺
20.10.23	Tabor Sežana - Fužinar Ravne	4:4 ✺
14.10.23	Fužinar Ravne - Primorje	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLTW
- NK Tolmin
Slovenian Cup
02.11.23	Primorje - Tolmin	2:0 ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
29.10.23	Gorica - Tolmin	2:3 ✺
25.10.23	Tolmin - Tabor Sežana	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	Tolmin - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Bistrica - Tolmin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
30.07.23	Tolmin - Fužinar Ravne	1:0

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