The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fuenlabrada 49.4%
Draw 31.5%
Castellón 19.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
31.3%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
24.3%
16.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.2%
16.7%
7.1%
Fuenlabrada - Castellón Predictions
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 32 - 76.2%). Castellón will win (votes: 3 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fuenlabrada: 63.3% – 89.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Fuenlabrada has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Castellón has a chance of relegated (17%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fuenlabrada is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Castellón is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).