Match Info

Date: 9 January 2022, Sunday


	Girona		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.25	5
	1.65	3.45	5.8	Watch
	1.74	3.15	5.4
	1.79	3.3	5.9
	1.7	3.3	5.25	Watch
	1.77	3.42	5.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.83)	3.35 ↑ (3.32)	5.33 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
54.4%

Draw
28%

Fuenlabrada
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

28.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

22.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Girona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Girona - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Girona has the most likely position - 4 (13.14%), has project points - 66, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (49%), has a chance of promoted (25%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (22.92%), has project points - 42, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (65%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Girona in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fuenlabrada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Girona is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Girona to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Girona won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.22	Girona - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Huesca - Girona	0:1 ✺
17.12.21	Girona - Burgos	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.12.21	Huesca - Girona	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.21	Ibiza - Girona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWWT
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Cádiz	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
19.12.21	Fuenlabrada - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.12.21	San Sebastian Reyes - Fuenlabrada	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.21	Burgos - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
31.10.21	Fuenlabrada - Girona	1:2
28.02.21	Fuenlabrada - Girona	1:1
04.10.20	Girona - Fuenlabrada	0:1
02.02.20	Fuenlabrada - Girona	0:1
24.11.19	Girona - Fuenlabrada	2:0

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