The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fuenlabrada 42.9%
Draw 30.3%
Mirandés 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
29.4%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
19.9%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fuenlabrada - Mirandés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 17).
Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (12.28%), has project points - 46, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mirandés has the most likely position - 20 (9.15%), has project points - 49, has currently - 18, has a chance of relegated (33%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fuenlabrada has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Mirandés is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fuenlabrada will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.