Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 34

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ibiza		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.53	3.6	5.25
	1.58	3.8	5.4
	1.59	3.85	5.59
	1.56	3.65	5.76	Watch
	1.55	3.74	5.86
	1.58	3.8	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	3.72 ↑ (3.58)	5.5 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
58.7%

Draw
24.7%

Fuenlabrada
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25.5%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

22.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Ibiza - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ibiza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. (C) 3. Molina G. 20. Indias I. 5. Jimenez J. 10. Gallar A. 6. Alvarez J. 22. Zarzana A. 16. Olabe R. 15. Bebe 7. Quique	1. Diaz L. (G) 20. Casas I. 4. Mauro M. 5. Alba D. 6. Alvaro Garcia 8. Ruiz Fer 10. Galindo A. 16. Aguza S. 11. Abde 9. Omoigui C. 7. Manu
Substitutes
24. Albert J. 11. Astals D. 13. Belman (G) 25. Chekotun A. (G) 19. del Olmo I. 14. Domenech M. 23. Escassi A. 21. Eugeni 8. Gori 18. Lopez J. 2. Matos J. 4. Monjonell E.	14. Barbosa A. 3. Barbu 13. Bloch F. (G) 23. Chang-Sang J. 19. Faure I. 35. Jaime R. 21. Nene

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Abde ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Molina G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quique ↓, Eugeni ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Bebe ⚽,
52', 🟨,
52', Aguza S. 🟨,
58', Alvaro Garcia ↓, Barbosa A. ↑,
72', Alvarez J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
72', Bebe ↓, Domenech M. ↑,
72', Barbu 🟨,
77', Olabe R. ↓, Monjonell E. ↑,
85', Abde ↓, Jaime R. ↑,
87', 🟨,
87', Aguza S. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', Domenech M. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14).

Ibiza is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fuenlabrada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ibiza is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.04.25	Ibiza - Sevilla B	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Marbella - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Ibiza - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Hércules - Ibiza	3:2 ✺
23.03.25	Ibiza - Intercity	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLTLL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.04.25	Fuenlabrada - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Alcoyano - Fuenlabrada	2:4 ✺
05.04.25	Fuenlabrada - Marbella	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Villarreal B - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Fuenlabrada - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.24	Fuenlabrada - Ibiza	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Fuenlabrada - Ibiza	1:2
23.10.21	Ibiza - Fuenlabrada	3:1

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