The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fuenlabrada 31.3%
Draw 31.8%
Eibar 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.6%
30.3%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.8%
22.3%
54.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eibar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fuenlabrada - Eibar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).
Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 20 (9.74%), has project points - 48, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Eibar has the most likely position - 2 (15.41%), has project points - 69, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a chance of promoted (34%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
Fuenlabrada is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Eibar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Fuenlabrada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.