The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fuenlabrada 36.3%
Draw 31.9%
Girona 31.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
30.7%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
21.4%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fuenlabrada - Girona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 19 (7.22%), has project points - 51, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Girona has the most likely position - 6 (6.78%), has project points - 59, has currently - 12, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Recent matches Fuenlabrada is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Girona is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fuenlabrada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.