Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Fuenlabrada		Sestao

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	4.5
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.83	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.82	3.05	4.7
	1.85	3.15	5
	1.81	3.2	4.71
	1.83	3.1	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 (1.82)	3.1 (3.1)	4.59 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
50.4%

Draw
29.6%

Sestao
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.8%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

30.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Fuenlabrada - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 4. Sotillos A. 16. Alba D. 5. Lama M. 32. Rodriguez S. 2. Vigaray C. 12. Buer S. 23. Galindo A. 7. Hernandez R. 17. Ruiz Fer 19. Hassaine I.	1. Puig S. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 5. Martinez G. (C) 6. Jaso Zunzarren A. 23. Corral R. 15. Azkue J. 19. Corbalan A. 21. Guruzeta J. 17. Kaxe 7. Aranzabe A. 20. Sanz I.
Substitutes
29. Benitez C. 10. Bravo A. 8. Cristobal 1. Diaz J. (G) 21. Fernandez M. 40. Hernando A. 37. Javi Curras 26. Jerome Hilt H. 15. Sanchez A. 20. Sergio Benito 22. Yungcheng Y.	9. Cabo J. 2. Carbonell A. 18. Dopi 8. Garai G. 24. Garcia P. (G) 14. Gete A. 3. Mateo A. 12. Mirapeix D. 11. Uriarte K.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 4.

Fuenlabrada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sestao is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Fuenlabrada is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.02.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Fuenlabrada	4:1 ✺
27.01.24	Fuenlabrada - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
20.01.24	Leonesa - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Fuenlabrada - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
04.01.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTT
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.02.24	Sestao - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Ponferradina - Sestao	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Sestao - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Sestao - Teruel	1:1 ✺
03.01.24	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.11.23	Sestao - Fuenlabrada	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.05.17	Sestao - Fuenlabrada	0:2
18.12.16	Fuenlabrada - Sestao	2:1
24.04.16	Fuenlabrada - Sestao	3:1
06.12.15	Sestao - Fuenlabrada	1:0
08.03.15	Sestao - Fuenlabrada	2:0
19.10.14	Fuenlabrada - Sestao	3:0

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