Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Leonesa		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.7	3	5.25
	1.68	3.1	5
	1.7	3.2	5.5
	1.71	3.37	5.71
	1.62	3.2	4.6
	1.61	3.42	6.05
	1.7	3.15	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 (1.67)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	5.33 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
54.5%

Draw
28.4%

Fuenlabrada
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

28.6%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

27%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Leonesa - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banuz M. (G) 22. Muguruza J. 20. Rodri Suarez 4. Coch A. 3. Pol J. 16. Berto 18. Solar M. 8. Barri 14. Bicho J. 11. Bilbao L. 21. Rodri	13. Belman (G) 4. Sotillos A. 16. Alba D. 5. Lama M. 2. Vigaray C. 23. Galindo A. 12. Buer S. 14. Barbosa A. 17. Ruiz Fer 20. Sergio Benito 7. Hernandez R.
Substitutes
23. Blanco F. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Garcia V. 9. Guillermo 5. Guitian A. 19. Hanza D. 17. Martinez A. 28. Ortega G. 6. Presa K. 10. Rey A. 25. Rodriguez D. (G) 12. Toca N.	29. Benitez C. 10. Bravo A. 8. Cristobal 1. Diaz J. (G) 3. Duran J. 21. Fernandez M. 27. Gonzalez M. 19. Hassaine I. 40. Hernando A. 26. Jerome Hilt H. 34. Reguilon M. 22. Yungcheng Y.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 2.

Leonesa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fuenlabrada is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.01.24	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
03.01.24	Teruel - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Leonesa - Sabadell	3:0 ✺
09.12.23	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWLW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.01.24	Fuenlabrada - Real Unión de Irun	0:0 ✺
04.01.24	Rayo Majadahonda - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Fuenlabrada - Celta de Vigo B	0:2 ✺
09.12.23	Fuenlabrada - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Tarazona - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.08.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:1
28.01.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:0
09.10.22	Leonesa - Fuenlabrada	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
31.03.19	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	1:0
11.11.18	Leonesa - Fuenlabrada	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.09.18	Leonesa - Fuenlabrada	2:1 penalties

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