The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sestao 36.3%
Draw 32%
Arenteiro 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
29.6%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
29%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sestao's performance.
Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenteiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sestao that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sestao - Arenteiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 23. Efremov A. 16. Galvez R. 12. Barandalla M. 17. Palacin E. 8. Garai G. (C) 6. Gomez A. 15. Bustillo M. 18. Cordoba A. 11. Etxaniz J.
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 4. Moreno J. 6. Prendes M. 3. Munoz I. 11. Gomez D. 8. Solar M. 7. Ferreiro D. 19. Aguado T. 18. Rodriguez E. 21. Baselga M.
Substitutes
3. Cordero C. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 21. Miranda A. 28. Otxandiano J. 7. Planas A.
20. Berardozzi T. 14. Cruz A. 27. Figueroa M. (G) 10. Marquitos 17. Pascu 16. Rivelott Curro 5. Rodriguez T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Gomez D. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Etxaniz J. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Cordoba A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ferreiro D. ↓, Pascu ↑,
46', Baselga M. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
46', Solar M. ↓, Marquitos ↑,
53', Aguado T. 🟨,
63', Sanchez J. ↓, Rivelott Curro ↑,
65', Palacin E. ↓, Planas A. ↑,
76', Etxeberria M. 🟨,
78', Prendes M. ↓, Berardozzi T. ↑,
78', Berardozzi T. 🟨,
88', Cordoba A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Cruz A. ⚽,
90+5', Bustillo M. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Sestao is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Arenteiro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arenteiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Sestao won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Sestao won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
Last Results with these Odds
Arenteiro - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.34%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Spain
Watch
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Herrerin I. (G) 
Efremov A. 
Berardozzi T. 
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