The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fuerte San Francisco 21.8%
Draw 27.1%
Municipal Limeño 51.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
29.4%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
29.7%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuerte San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuerte San Francisco's form might have worsened.
Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Municipal Limeño's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuerte San Francisco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Municipal Limeño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fuerte San Francisco - Municipal Limeño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Argueta J. C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, Argueta J. C. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 1.
Fuerte is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Municipal Limeño is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Fuerte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Municipal Limeño will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 0.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Fuerte won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Municipal Limeno
14
5
2
7
19:19
0
17
12
Fuerte San Francisco
14
1
6
7
9:23
-14
9
Last Results with these Odds
Fuerte San Francisco - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.79%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Municipal Limeño - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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