Match Info

J2 League - Round 18

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Fujieda soccer stadium (Fujieda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fujieda MYFC		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.37
	2.55	3.35	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.54	2.6
	2.58	3.37	2.63	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.45
	2.74	3.41	2.43	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.55)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	2.52 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fujieda MYFC
35.4%

Draw
27.8%

Montedio Yamagata
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.3%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fujieda MYFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	53.8%	15.4%

Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fujieda MYFC will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fujieda MYFC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.47) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Fujieda MYFC (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fujieda MYFC (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Kitamura K. C. (G) 22. Hisadomi R. 5. Kusumoto T. 4. Nakagawa S. 33. Kawakami C. 6. Sese H. 17. Okazawa K. 19. Shimabuku K. 14. Nakagawa K. 8. Asakura R. 7. Matsuki S.	1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 4. Nishimura K. 22. Shirowa H. 15. Kawai A. 10. Kida R. 7. Takae L. 8. Konishi Y. 14. Sakamoto K. 71. Nakamura R. 9. Takahashi J. 11. Fujimoto Y.
Substitutes
9. Chiba K. 29. Diamanka C. 23. Kajikawa R. 26. Kawamoto T. 16. Mori Y. 24. Nagata K. 1. Rokutan Y. (G) 15. Sugita M. 3. Suzuki S.	5. Abe T. 90. Disaro A. S. 55. Horikane S. 42. Issaka Z. 25. Kokubu S. 13. Nodake H. 21. Tanaka W. 31. Terakado R. (G) 2. Yoshida T.
Coaches
Sudo D.	Watanabe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Takahashi J. ⚽, Nakamura R. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Asakura R. ⚽, Okazawa K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Sese H. ↓, Sugita M. ↑,
62', Nakagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
63', Nakagawa S. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Sugita M. ⚽, Shimabuku K. (A),
70', Fujimoto Y. ↓, Disaro A. S. ↑,
70', Kida R. ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
79', Matsuki S. ↓, Kajikawa R. ↑,
81', Takahashi J. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
81', Nakamura R. ↓, Kokubu S. ↑,
81', Shirowa H. ↓, Abe T. ↑,
87', Asakura R. ↓, Diamanka C. ↑,
90+1', Kokubu S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 13).

Fujieda MYFC has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Montedio Yamagata is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fujieda MYFC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fujieda MYFC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 League
25.05.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Fujieda MYFC	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Fujieda MYFC - Omiya Ardija	0:1 ✺
11.05.25	Júbilo Iwata - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
06.05.25	Vegalta Sendai - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Fujieda MYFC - Mito HollyHock	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
25.05.25	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	0:4 ✺
18.05.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	Montedio Yamagata - Oita Trinita	3:0 ✺
03.05.25	Montedio Yamagata - Consadole Sapporo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.08.24	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	0:1
20.03.24	Montedio Yamagata - Fujieda MYFC	0:1
05.08.23	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
07.05.23	Montedio Yamagata - Fujieda MYFC	3:2
Japan Emperors Cup
14.10.15	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	1:2

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