Match Info

J2 League - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fujieda soccer stadium (Fujieda) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	13:00	K-Ball
Japan	14:00	DAZN Japan


	Fujieda MYFC		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.25	2.55
	2.40	3.10	2.60
	2.40	3.30	2.70	Watch
	2.68	3.30	2.74
	2.54	3.27	2.74	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.65
	2.55	3.32	2.66	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.54)	3.26 ↑ (3.21)	2.66 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fujieda MYFC
36.7%

Draw
28.5%

Montedio Yamagata
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Fujieda MYFC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fujieda MYFC will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Montedio Yamagata (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montedio Yamagata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Yoshida S. (G) 16. Mori Y. 5. Kusumoto T. 3. Suzuki S. 7. Matsuki S. 66. Nagao Y. 23. Kajikawa R. (C) 97. Aoki S. 17. Kawamoto R. 77. Kitahara M. 20. Kanemoto W.	34. Sato R. (G) 15. Kawai A. 49. Sakamoto K. 38. Morioka R. 5. Sugii H. 7. Nakamura R. 8. Doi S. (C) 20. Yoshio Kaina 10. Kida R. 9. Takahashi J. 14. Yanagimachi K.
Substitutes
21. Jones R. (G) 26. Kawamoto T. 11. Manabe H. 2. Matsuda K. 4. Nakagawa S. 13. Nakamura Y. 6. Okamoto T. 38. Shimano R. 41. Uehata U.	11. Disaro A. S. 55. Horikane S. 77. Kawana R. 2. Lee Dong-Hee 39. Mori K. 13. Nodake H. 1. Shibuya T. (G) 17. Terayama T. 18. Yokoyama R.
Coaches
Makino T.	Yokouchi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Morioka R. ↓, Lee Dong-Hee ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Kitahara M. ↓, Kawamoto T. ↑,
62', Kanemoto W. ↓, Manabe H. ↑,
68', Doi S. ↓, Kawana R. ↑,
68', Yoshio Kaina ↓, Nodake H. ↑,
68', Kida R. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
70', Matsuki S. ↓, Nakamura Y. ↑,
70', Kawamoto R. ↓, Uehata U. ↑,
79', Nakamura R. 🟨,
86', Yanagimachi K. ↓, Yokoyama R. ↑,
86', Nagao Y. ↓, Shimano R. ↑,
90+4', Nakamura Y. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fujieda MYFC won 3.

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Recently, Montedio Yamagata has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Fujieda MYFC has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:14 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fujieda MYFC against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Fujieda MYFC	13	3	6	4	15:14	1	15
17	Montedio Yamagata	13	4	1	8	11:13	-2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Montedio Yamagata - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.18%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 League
10.10.26	Sagan Tosu - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Fujieda MYFC - Shonan Bellmare	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Fujieda MYFC - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Oita Trinita - Fujieda MYFC	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kyoto Sanga - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTL
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
11.10.26	Montedio Yamagata - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Oita Trinita - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Montedio Yamagata - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Montedio Yamagata - Fujieda MYFC	3:5 AET
Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Montedio Yamagata - Fujieda MYFC	2:1
31.05.25	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	2:1
24.08.24	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	0:1
20.03.24	Montedio Yamagata - Fujieda MYFC	0:1
05.08.23	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
07.05.23	Montedio Yamagata - Fujieda MYFC	3:2

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