Match Info

J2 League - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Montedio Yamagata		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.50	2.40	Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.25
	2.75	3.45	2.28	Watch
	2.79	3.85	2.50
	2.71	3.68	2.36	Watch
	2.75	3.40	2.45
	2.64	3.52	2.46	Watch
	2.65	3.55	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.75)	3.54 ↓ (3.67)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
34.7%

Draw
26.2%

Kataller Toyama
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

25.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

26.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Sato R. (G) 15. Kawai A. 38. Morioka R. 49. Sakamoto K. 5. Sugii H. 13. Nodake H. 7. Nakamura R. 8. Doi S. 10. Kida R. 9. Takahashi J. 27. Enomoto K.	1. Hirao T. (G) 4. Fukazawa S. 56. Okamoto S. 27. Kang Min-Woo 33. Takahashi Y. 34. Takenaka G. 14. Tanimoto S. 28. Fuseya S. 9. Yoshihira T. 55. Kunitake Y. 39. Furukawa M.
Substitutes
11. Disaro A. S. 25. Kokubu S. 2. Lee Dong-Hee 39. Mori K. 1. Shibuya T. (G) 17. Terayama T. 6. Yamada T. 18. Yokoyama R. 20. Yoshio Kaina	11. Kim T. 31. Koh Bong-jo (G) 8. Matsuoka D. 30. Nakashima Y. 23. Nishiya S. 13. Ogawa K. 19. Saneto Y. 48. Ueda K. 17. Yunomae M.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Adachi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Kang Min-Woo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Furukawa M. ↓, Kim T. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Kim T. ⚽, Fuseya S. (A),
61', Takahashi J. ↓, Mori K. ↑,
61', Kida R. ↓, Yokoyama R. ↑,
69', Nodake H. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
72', Enomoto K. ↓, Disaro A. S. ↑,
72', Takenaka G. ↓, Ueda K. ↑,
72', Yoshihira T. ↓, Ogawa K. ↑,
72', Kunitake Y. ↓, Yunomae M. ↑,
76', Yunomae M. 🟨,
81', Doi S. ↓, Kokubu S. ↑,
81', Kawai A. ↓, Yamada T. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Yunomae M. ⚽, Ueda K. (A),
89', Fukazawa S. ↓, Saneto Y. ↑,
90+4', Yamada T. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 6th in the Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Kataller Toyama could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Montedio Yamagata has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montedio Yamagata against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals (averaging 2:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Toyama	9	5	2	2	18:9	9	17
10	Montedio Yamagata	9	4	0	5	11:8	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Montedio Yamagata - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.96%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Kataller Toyama - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.6%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
13.09.26	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Tochigi - Montedio Yamagata	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
05.09.26	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Imabari - Montedio Yamagata	0:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Montedio Yamagata - Fujieda MYFC	3:5 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWL
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
12.09.26	Kataller Toyama - Tochigi City	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Júbilo Iwata - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Kataller Toyama - Fujieda MYFC	2:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Sagan Tosu - Kataller Toyama	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
14.09.25	Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama	3:0
29.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	0:0
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ET
Japan J2 League
10.08.14	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	1:1
03.05.14	Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama	1:0
25.08.13	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	1:3

Upcoming Matches