Match Info

J.League Cup - First stage - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Fujieda soccer stadium (Fujieda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	Fuji TV Next, SKY PerfecTV!


	Fujieda MYFC		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.20	1.50
	5.00	4.00	1.50
	5.75	4.20	1.42	Watch
	6.06	4.31	1.52
	6.2	4.47	1.46
	6.00	4.15	1.49
	5.77	4.10	1.51	Watch
	5.00	4.00	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (4.93)	4.18 ↑ (4.18)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fujieda MYFC
16.4%

Draw
21.9%

Cerezo Osaka
61.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.6%

21.9%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

20.3%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fujieda MYFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Fujieda MYFC - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fujieda MYFC will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Yoshida S. (G) 4. Nakagawa S. 5. Kusumoto T. 38. Shimano R. 7. Matsuki S. 41. Uehata U. 23. Kajikawa R. 97. Aoki S. 8. Tsunoda Y. 77. Kitahara M. 26. Kawamoto T.	23. Nakamura K. (G) 97. Takahashi T. 4. Inoue R. 15. Hernandez J. 2. Nakamura T. 8. Kagawa S. 28. Okazawa K. 17. Sakata R. 77. Fernandes L. 11. Thiago Andrade 19. Sabbag P.
Substitutes
21. Jones R. (G) 17. Kawamoto R. 10. Kikui Y. 19. Kondo Y. 11. Manabe H. 16. Mori Y. 66. Nagao Y. 18. Numata T. 28. Omori K.	31. Abe K. (G) 33. Kimura S. 41. Komi Y. 45. Nagasoe K. 66. Ohata A. 16. Okuda H. 42. Shiojiri T. 10. Tanaka S. 7. Uejo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Sabbag P. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
42', Shimano R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kusumoto T. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
46', Uehata U. ↓, Nagao Y. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Kawamoto T. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Fernandes L. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Okazawa K. 🟨,
69', Kagawa S. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
69', Sabbag P. ↓, Komi Y. ↑,
72', Matsuki S. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
72', Kawamoto T. ↓, Manabe H. ↑,
79', Tsunoda Y. ↓, Kawamoto R. ↑,
80', Thiago Andrade ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
80', Sakata R. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
86', Ohata A. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
87', Kawamoto R. 🟨,

Preview

Fujieda MYFC is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Cerezo Osaka have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Fujieda MYFC may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Cerezo Osaka for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Japan J League Cup for now

Cerezo Osaka: 1.87%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Oita Trinita - Fujieda MYFC	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Kyoto Sanga - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Fujieda MYFC - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Fujieda MYFC	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Fujieda MYFC - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTLT
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	6:1 ✺
06.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTWL

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