Match Info

Date: 7 October 2020, Wednesday


	Fukushima United		Cerezo Osaka U23

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3
	1.95	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.25	3.2
	2.07	3.45	3.36
	2.05	3.2	3.4
	2.04	3.35	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.27)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	3.28 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fukushima United
44.7%

Draw
27.5%

Cerezo Osaka U23
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

21%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Cerezo Osaka U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerezo Osaka U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fukushima United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka U23 than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerezo Osaka U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fukushima United - Cerezo Osaka U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 17).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Fukushima United will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fukushima United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
03.10.20	Vanraure Hachinohe - Fukushima United	2:3 ✺
26.09.20	Fukushima United - Blaublitz Akita	0:2 ✺
22.09.20	Fukushima United - Imabari	0:2 ✺
19.09.20	Azul Claro Numazu - Fukushima United	0:2 ✺
13.09.20	Fukushima United - Kagoshima United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLWL
- Cerezo Osaka U23
Japan J3 League
02.10.20	Cerezo Osaka U23 - Imabari	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	YSCC - Cerezo Osaka U23	1:6 ✺
22.09.20	Azul Claro Numazu - Cerezo Osaka U23	5:0 ✺
18.09.20	Cerezo Osaka U23 - Kataller Toyama	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Nagano Parceiro - Cerezo Osaka U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
29.08.20	Cerezo Osaka U23 - Fukushima United	1:2

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