Match Info

J3 League - Round 37

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ashitaka Park Stadium (Numazu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Azul Claro Numazu		Fukushima United

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.5	2.58	Watch
	2.30	3.50	2.81	Watch
	2.32	3.87	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 (2.3)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	2.67 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azul Claro Numazu
40.1%

Draw
25.4%

Fukushima United
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.5%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Azul Claro Numazu - Fukushima United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gueguim G. (G) 5. Shinozaki T. 34. Miyazaki K. 2. Miyawaki S. 22. Ichimaru D. 14. Tokunaga K. 13. Watai K. 10. Sato N. 77. Martinez E. 11. Mori Y. 23. Shirawachi K.	1. Ueda T. (G) 28. Suzu N. 17. Fujitani T. 25. Toma H. 3. Matsunagane Y. 7. Harigaya T. 20. Jojo K. 30. Kano K. 11. Ashibe K. 9. Shimizu K. 10. Mori K.
Substitutes
20. Kawamata K. 21. Maeda H. (G) 16. Mihara S. 35. Mukai H. 7. Numata K. 19. Saito M. 18. Sugai T. 8. Suzuki K. 24. Yanagimachi K.	23. Anzai T. 40. Higuchi H. 55. Shibata T. 6. Uehata U. 18. Yajima K. 2. Yamada M. 22. Yoshimaru K. (G) 8. Yoshinaga H. 37. Yui K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Matsunagane Y. ⚽, Suzu N. (A),
37', Martinez E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Sato N. ↓, Numata K. ↑,
46', Shimizu K. ↓, Higuchi H. ↑,
51', Toma H. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Jojo K. ⚽, Harigaya T. (A),
63', 0 - 3, Mori K. ⚽, Higuchi H. (A),
65', Shirawachi K. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
65', Martinez E. ↓, Mukai H. ↑,
66', Watai K. ↓, Yanagimachi K. ↑,
70', Mori Y. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
75', Kano K. ↓, Yoshinaga H. ↑,
75', Ashibe K. ↓, Yajima K. ↑,
75', Jojo K. ↓, Uehata U. ↑,
84', Fujitani T. ↓, Shibata T. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Kawamata K. ⚽, Ichimaru D. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 0.

Azul Claro Numazu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fukushima United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Azul Claro Numazu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Fukushima United - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.06%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
16.11.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Ryūkyū - Azul Claro Numazu	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Osaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLL
- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
16.11.25	Fukushima United - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Fukushima United - Osaka	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Fukushima United - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
23.04.25	Fukushima United - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1
17.11.24	Fukushima United - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1
03.05.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Fukushima United	0:1
06.08.23	Fukushima United - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1
08.04.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Fukushima United	1:1
06.11.22	Fukushima United - Azul Claro Numazu	2:0
19.03.22	Azul Claro Numazu - Fukushima United	0:5

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