The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fukushima United 24.7%
Draw 26.2%
Vanraure Hachinohe 49.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
27.4%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
27.3%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fukushima United's form might have worsened.
Vanraure Hachinohe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vanraure Hachinohe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fukushima United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanraure Hachinohe than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vanraure Hachinohe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Fukushima United - Vanraure Hachinohe Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Fukushima United will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Vanraure will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vanraure: 50.5% – 99.5%.
22. Yoshimaru K. (G) 28. Suzu N. 25. Toma H. 2. Yamada M. 23. Anzai T. 7. Harigaya T. 30. Kano K. 6. Uehata U. 9. Shimizu K. 18. Yajima K. 38. Awano K.
13. Onishi S. (G) 22. Shirai T. 20. Minoda K. 11. Yukie H. 6. Doi K. 8. Otoizumi S. 7. Sato A. 80. Nagata K. 5. Inazumi D. 9. Sawakami R. 99. Nakano S.
Substitutes
17. Fujitani T. 40. Higuchi H. 29. Ishii R. 20. Jojo K. 3. Matsunagane Y. 10. Mori K. 27. Nozue S. 1. Ueda T. (G) 8. Yoshinaga H.
30. Inami Y. 16. Kaburaki M. 27. Kokubun M. 18. Pedersen J. 14. Senoo N. 26. Takahashi K. 25. Taniguchi Y. (G) 29. Yagishita D.
Coaches
Terada S.
Ishizaki N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Sawakami R. ⚽, Inazumi D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Awano K. ↓, Mori K. ↑,
59', Kano K. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
60', Jojo K. 🟨,
62', Nagata K. ↓, Kaburaki M. ↑,
62', Nakano S. ↓, Inami Y. ↑,
70', Yajima K. ↓, Higuchi H. ↑,
81', Otoizumi S. ↓, Kokubun M. ↑,
81', Sato A. ↓, Takahashi K. ↑,
82', Higuchi H. 🟨,
85', Toma H. ↓, Nozue S. ↑,
90+3', Sawakami R. ↓, Pedersen J. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 4.
Fukushima United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vanraure is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vanraure might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fukushima United won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Fukushima United won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Fukushima United - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.53%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Vanraure Hachinohe - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.05%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.