Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 15

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Sunpro Alwin (Matsumoto)


	Matsumoto Yamaga		Imabari

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.5
	2.65	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.74	3.15	2.67
	2.74	3.08	2.67
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.57	3.15	2.5	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.5)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matsumoto Yamaga
34.8%

Draw
29.5%

Imabari
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Matsumoto Yamaga - Imabari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ouchi I. (G) 48. Fujitani S. 2. Miyabe T. 5. Tokida M. 17. Yamamoto R. 15. Yamamoto K. 32. Yonehara S. 41. Murakoshi K. 14. Ando T. 10. Kikui Y. 11. Asakawa H.	31. Serantes J. (G) 37. Umeki R. 5. Shirai T. 3. Fukumori N. 2. Kato T. 10. Indio 6. Moschion T. 18. Arai H. 9. Kondo T. 11. Sakano T. 36. Yokoyama Y.
Substitutes
50. Joppu S. 16. Murayama T. (G) 27. Ninomiya J. 22. Saso K. 8. Sumida S. 6. Yamaguchi K. 46. Yasunaga R.	21. Hino T. 25. Kusumi K. 23. Matsumoto Y. 50. Mikado Y. 1. Shugyo T. (G) 24. Takeuchi Y. 14. Yuba K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Fukumori N. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Murakoshi K. ⚽, Ando T. (A),
19', Moschion T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Indio ⚽, Arai H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yamamoto K. 🟨,
59', Umeki R. 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Hino T. ⚽, Indio (A),
90+7', Serantes J. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J3 League
18.05.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1 ✺
06.05.24	Omiya Ardija - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:2 ✺
28.04.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kataller Toyama	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLWW
- FC Imabari
Japan J3 League
18.05.24	Imabari - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
06.05.24	Imabari - Kataller Toyama	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Nara Club - Imabari	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	Imabari - Omiya Ardija	1:4 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Imabari - Vissel Kobe	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
26.08.23	Matsumoto Yamaga - Imabari	1:1
11.06.23	Imabari - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:2
23.10.22	Imabari - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2
28.05.22	Matsumoto Yamaga - Imabari	2:1

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