Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Fukushima United		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.2	2.15
	2.9	3.25	2.25	Watch
	3.07	3.2	2.35
	3.07	3.2	2.35
	2.88	3.2	2.15
	3	3.18	2.23	Watch
	3	3.3	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.62)	3.22 ↑ (3.1)	2.24 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fukushima United
30.8%

Draw
28.4%

Kataller Toyama
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.7%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.2%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yoshimaru K. (G) 3. Matsunagane Y. 2. Yamada M. 4. Dohana K. 28. Suzu N. 30. Kato T. 17. Harigaya T. 41. Uehata U. 7. Shiohama R. 18. Yajima K. 10. Mori K.	42. Hirao T. (G) 20. Oyama M. 2. Wakimoto K. 4. Kamiyama K. 23. Nishiya S. 8. Matsuoka D. 24. Kawai Y. 16. Sueki H. 18. Ito T. 11. Matsumoto K. 9. Usui S.
Substitutes
40. Higuchi H. 20. Jojo K. 5. Omori H. 9. Sawakami R. 19. Shimizu K. 22. Yamamoto K. (G) 8. Yoshinaga H.	10. Leiria Dos Santos M. 6. Sera S. 14. Shimodo R. 1. Tagawa T. (G) 33. Takahashi Y. 25. Yasumitsu S. 27. Yoshihira T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Harigaya T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Oyama M. 🟨,
69', Matsumoto K. ↓, Leiria Dos Santos M. ↑,
69', Ito T. ↓, Yoshihira T. ↑,
69', Harigaya T. ↓, Higuchi H. ↑,
80', Mori K. ↓, Sawakami R. ↑,
80', Shiohama R. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
81', Kawai Y. ↓, Sera S. ↑,
81', Matsuoka D. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
90', Yajima K. ↓, Shimizu K. ↑,
90+1', Usui S. ↓, Yasumitsu S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fukushima United won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Fukushima United won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Fukushima United won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
20.03.24	Nagano Parceiro - Fukushima United	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Fukushima United - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Fukushima United - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
02.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Gifu - Fukushima United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLWL
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J3 League
20.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ET ✺
Japan J3 League
09.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
19.08.23	Fukushima United - Kataller Toyama	1:0
14.05.23	Kataller Toyama - Fukushima United	1:0
03.09.22	Kataller Toyama - Fukushima United	3:2
02.07.22	Fukushima United - Kataller Toyama	1:1
03.10.21	Fukushima United - Kataller Toyama	1:3
04.04.21	Kataller Toyama - Fukushima United	2:2
14.11.20	Kataller Toyama - Fukushima United	2:3

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