Match Info

J2 League - Round 12

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.7	3.25	2.48	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.76
	2.78	3.22	2.53	Watch
	2.6	3	2.62
	2.68	3.28	2.43	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.55)	3.18 ↓ (3.47)	2.54 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
34.5%

Draw
29.1%

Montedio Yamagata
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.6%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

26%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 88. Hama T. 26. Nabeta A. 4. Kamiyama K. 2. Yoshida A. 27. Yoshihira T. 13. Fukazawa S. 48. Ueda K. 18. Ito T. 10. Matsuda R. 58. Take H.	1. Heward-Belle T. (G) 3. Kumamoto Y. 4. Nishimura K. 5. Abe T. 2. Yoshida T. 7. Takae L. 8. Konishi Y. 25. Kokubu S. 42. Issaka Z. 90. Disaro A. S. 11. Fujimoto Y.
Substitutes
28. Fuseya S. 32. Mizoguchi S. 21. Okubo T. (G) 41. Sakai S. 22. Shiina N. 16. Sueki H. 33. Takahashi Y. 14. Ura J. 9. Usui S.	88. Doi S. 55. Horikane S. 17. Kato C. 15. Kawai A. 14. Sakamoto K. 22. Shirowa H. 9. Takahashi J. 31. Terakado R. (G) 20. Yoshio Kaina
Coaches
Otagiri M.	Watanabe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yoshida T. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
51', Kokubu S. 🟨,
58', Kamiyama K. 🟨,
65', Fujimoto Y. 🟨,
66', Fujimoto Y. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
66', Disaro A. S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
66', Yoshihira T. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
66', Ito T. ↓, Ura J. ↑,
66', Fukazawa S. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
73', Kokubu S. ↓, Doi S. ↑,
76', Take H. ↓, Usui S. ↑,
84', Kumamoto Y. ↓, Kawai A. ↑,
84', Matsuda R. ↓, Sueki H. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 13).

Recent matches Kataller Toyama is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montedio Yamagata is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montedio Yamagata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kataller Toyama won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Kataller Toyama won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Montedio Yamagata - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.09%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
26.04.25	Tokushima Vortis - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Iwaki	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Nagoya Grampus	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
13.04.25	Kataller Toyama - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:2 ✺
06.04.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Kataller Toyama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWTT
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
25.04.25	Sagan Tosu - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Montedio Yamagata - Ehime	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	Iwaki - Montedio Yamagata	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Montedio Yamagata - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
05.04.25	Montedio Yamagata - Júbilo Iwata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ET
Japan J2 League
10.08.14	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	1:1
03.05.14	Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama	1:0
25.08.13	Kataller Toyama - Montedio Yamagata	1:3

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