Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Ningineer Stadium (Matsuyama)


	Ehime		Fukushima United

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.3
	1.97	3.26	3.78
	2	3	3.4
	1.95	3.32	3.66	Watch
	2.06	3.25	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.7)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.48 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ehime
45.5%

Draw
28.4%

Fukushima United
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26.8%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

25.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ehime's form might have worsened.

Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ehime, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fukushima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 16. Mihara S. 37. Morishita R. 33. Ogawa S. 4. Yamaguchi T. 14. Tanimoto S. 20. Yada A. 7. Soneda Y. 6. Sasaki T. 17. Motegi S. 10. Matsuda R.	22. Yamamoto K. (G) 27. Nozue S. 44. Obu S. 28. Suzu N. 50. Kobayashi S. 41. Uehata U. 8. Yoshinaga H. 7. Tanaka K. 17. Nobe Y. 39. Shiohama R. 40. Higuchi H.
Substitutes
9. Duncan B. 47. Hikida Y. 15. Oshiro K. 24. Sato R. 1. Tokushige K. (G) 28. Yoshinaga S. 48. Yukitomo T.	4. Dohana K. 20. Jojo K. 10. Mori K. 25. Nagano S. 5. Omori H. 21. Osugi S. (G) 35. Shiba K.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 and 18).

Ehime is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fukushima United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ehime will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ehime won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Ehime won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ehime FC
Japan J3 League
14.05.23	Imabari - Ehime	0:0 ✺
03.05.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Ehime	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Ehime - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Ehime	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ehime - Gifu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWTW
- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
14.05.23	Kataller Toyama - Fukushima United	1:0 ✺
03.05.23	Fukushima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:0 ✺
30.04.23	Nagano Parceiro - Fukushima United	2:3 ✺
15.04.23	Fukushima United - Gainare Tottori	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Fukushima United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
20.11.22	Fukushima United - Ehime	0:3
29.04.22	Ehime - Fukushima United	0:0

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