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Current Win Probability
Ehime 47.2%
Draw 24.2%
Fukushima United 28.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.6%
22.7%
18.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.6%
21.6%
17.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ehime has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ehime's form might have worsened.
Fukushima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fukushima United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ehime, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fukushima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ehime - Fukushima United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Tsuji S. (G) 5. Kuroishi T. (C) 37. Ishio R. 6. Tanioka M. 8. Kamimura S. 3. Fukushima H. 23. Miyamoto K. 38. Hino S. 49. Abe R. 17. Tamura S. 44. Hayashi M.
22. Yoshimaru K. (G) 66. Uehara M. 17. Fujitani T. 29. Tsuchiya K. 23. Anzai T. (C) 96. Yoshida J. 44. Okuda K. 30. Kano K. 13. Higuchi A. 14. Nakamura T. 9. Shimizu K.
Substitutes
9. Fujimoto Y. 99. Kabayama R. 4. Kanazawa K. 28. Kozakai A. 45. Makiguchi K. (G) 39. Muto H. 18. Shibata T. 22. Takemoto Y. 13. Yamashita Y.
31. Anzai S. (G) 7. Ashibe K. 10. Harigaya T. 40. Higuchi H. 20. Izumi S. 8. Okada Y. 37. Sasaki N. 28. Suzu N. 5. Toma H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Shimizu K. ⚽, Kano K. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Shimizu K. ⚽, Nakamura T. (A),
32', 1 - 2, Tamura S. ⚽, Hayashi M. (A),
37', Tanioka M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Nakamura T. ↓, Ashibe K. ↑,
46', Yoshimaru K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
46', Okuda K. ↓, Higuchi H. ↑,
56', Miyamoto K. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,
56', Hayashi M. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Tsuchiya K. ⚽, Yoshida J. (A),
66', 1 - 4, Ashibe K. ⚽,
73', Kamimura S. ↓, Kozakai A. ↑,
73', Fukushima H. ↓, Muto H. ↑,
73', Tamura S. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
76', 2 - 4, Kozakai A. ⚽, Hino S. (A),
79', Uehara M. ↓, Suzu N. ↑,
81', Higuchi A. ↓, Harigaya T. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - J2 League and 18th).
In recent outings, Ehime has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fukushima United is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fukushima United could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Ehime is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Ehime has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ehime against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals (averaging 0:0.5 per game).