The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu 40.4%
Draw 27.6%
Nagano Parceiro 32.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.8%
28.7%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
30.2%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Giravanz Kitakyushu - Nagano Parceiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Otani K. (G) 16. Maruyama S. 28. Yokokubo K. 5. Narasaka T. 20. Yasumitsu S. 66. Takahashi D. (C) 18. Hiramatsu S. 51. Sakashita Y. 7. Hirahara R. 37. Yoshida K. 11. Koh S.
21. Nakano K. (G) 24. Watanabe Z. 7. Ono Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. (C) 3. Tomita K. 10. Yamanaka R. 77. Morita D. 40. Hasegawa Y. 8. Kondo T. 28. Fujikawa K. 18. Yoshizawa S.
Substitutes
30. Fukumori K. 27. Hara K. 4. Hasegawa K. 14. Izawa H. 3. Kamihashi R. 52. Nishimura M. 41. Sugimoto M. (G) 15. Wade M. 8. Yoshinaga M.
15. Higuchi K. 16. Ishii K. 14. Kutsuna K. 30. Nojima K. 51. Shimizu S. 19. Shoji H. 1. Tajiri K. (G) 25. Tanaka K. 22. Yoshida K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Yoshizawa S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Hiramatsu S. ⚽, Yokokubo K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yamanaka R. ↓, Higuchi K. ↑,
46', Tomita K. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Koh S. ⚽,
54', 3 - 0, Takahashi D. ⚽, Hiramatsu S. (A),
55', Hasegawa Y. ↓, Yoshida K. ↑,
55', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Shoji H. ↑,
56', Morita D. 🟨,
63', Maruyama S. ↓, Fukumori K. ↑,
64', Yoshida K. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
68', Kondo T. ↓, Nojima K. ↑,
76', Koh S. ↓, Wade M. ↑,
76', Hirahara R. ↓, Hara K. ↑,
86', Sakashita Y. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Tanaka K. ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giravanz won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Nagano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Giravanz has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:11 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Giravanz against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Japan
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Otani K. (G) 
Koh S. 
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