Match Info

National League North - Round 10

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Fylde

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.3
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.68	3.45	2.32
	2.66	3.9	2.31
	1.83	3.60	3.96	Watch
	2.68	3.44	2.36
	2.65	3.45	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.15)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	2.54 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
36.7%

Draw
26.6%

Fylde
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.2%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Telford United's performance.

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fylde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fylde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Telford United - Fylde Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fylde (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Walker R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', 1 - 1, Jolley C. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Ustabasi J. ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telford won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Telford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Telford won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 0.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Telford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English FA Cup
27.09.25	AFC Telford United - Evesham United	4:1 ✺
English National League North
20.09.25	Alfreton Town - AFC Telford United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	AFC Telford United - Kidderminster Harriers	3:1 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Chorley - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
02.09.25	AFC Telford United - Peterborough Sports	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLW
- AFC Fylde
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Darlington - Fylde	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Fylde - Darlington	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Fylde - Bamber Bridge	4:1 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Peterborough Sports - Fylde	0:5 ✺
02.09.25	Fylde - Chester	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.02.23	AFC Telford United - Fylde	0:3
03.09.22	Fylde - AFC Telford United	3:1
15.03.22	Fylde - AFC Telford United	1:1
20.11.21	AFC Telford United - Fylde	1:2
09.01.21	AFC Telford United - Fylde	0:2
11.02.17	Fylde - AFC Telford United	1:1
06.08.16	AFC Telford United - Fylde	0:1

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