Match Info

FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Spennymoor Town		Fylde

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.65	2.48
	2.4	3.65	2.44
	1.43	3.99	8.05	Watch
	2.45	3.9	2.47
	2.85	3.66	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.68)	3.77 ↑ (3.72)	3.5 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
44%

Draw
26.9%

Fylde
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

24%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

22.8%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spennymoor Town's performance.

Fylde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fylde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spennymoor Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fylde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spennymoor Town - Fylde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Wilson G. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Mondal J. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Robson E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 2 - 2, Ustabasi J. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Ustabasi J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 1.

Spennymoor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fylde is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Spennymoor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fylde might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spennymoor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Spennymoor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Spennymoor Town - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 33.3%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
11.11.25	Alfreton Town - Spennymoor Town	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Spennymoor Town - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
04.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Spennymoor Town - Barrow	0:2 ✺
English National League North
25.10.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTLL
- AFC Fylde
English National League North
08.11.25	Alfreton Town - Fylde	0:1 ✺
05.11.25	Fylde - South Shields	2:4 ✺
01.11.25	Marine - Fylde	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Fylde - Hereford	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.10.25	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	0:5
07.04.23	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	2:1
27.09.22	Fylde - Spennymoor Town	2:2
22.03.22	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	0:1
26.10.21	Fylde - Spennymoor Town	2:0
English FA Cup
21.09.21	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	1:0
18.09.21	Fylde - Spennymoor Town	1:1

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