Match Info

National League North - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	South Shields		Hereford

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	4.2
	1.6	4.05	4.65
	1.63	4.18	4.66
	1.66	4.24	4.35
	1.6	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.6)	4.13 ↑ (4.05)	4.47 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Shields
57%

Draw
22.3%

Hereford
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

22.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

21.5%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Shields has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Shields than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

South Shields - Hereford Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Kelly C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Parker M. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, McGurk S. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 12).

South Shields has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hereford is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

South Shields may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, South Shields has had a series of home games.

In this match, South Shields is seen as the favorite.

We predict that South Shields will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, South Shields won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, South Shields won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Shields FC
English FA Cup
11.10.25	South Shields - Spalding United	4:0 ✺
English National League North
04.10.25	South Shields - Chorley	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	South Shields - Chorley	4:1 ✺
English National League North
20.09.25	Curzon Ashton - South Shields	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	South Shields - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW
- Hereford FC
English National League North
04.10.25	Leamington - Hereford	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Hereford - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:3 ✺
23.09.25	Sporting Khalsa - Hereford	2:3 ✺
English National League North
20.09.25	Hereford - Worksop Town	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Darlington - Hereford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.02.25	South Shields - Hereford	0:1
10.08.24	Hereford - South Shields	3:0
30.01.24	Hereford - South Shields	0:3
07.10.23	South Shields - Hereford	0:0

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