Match Info

Date: 3 March 2020, Tuesday


	Fylde		Notts County

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.2
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.18	3.3	3.05
	2.17	3.3	3.07
	2.23	3.57	3.15
	2.2	3.4	3.2
	2.24	3.28	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)	3.38 ↑ (3.33)	3.13 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylde
42.5%

Draw
27.6%

Notts County
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

20.4%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fylde's performance.

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylde than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fylde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notts County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	7%	63.5%

Fylde - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 115 users predict this event. Fylde will win (votes: 34 - 29.6%). Notts County will win (votes: 73 - 63.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 54.7% – 72.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Fylde
English FA Trophy
29.02.20	Fylde - Harrogate Town	2:3 ET ✺
English National League
22.02.20	Dover Athletic - Fylde	5:1 ✺
11.02.20	Eastleigh - Fylde	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.02.20	Dorking Wanderers - Fylde	2:4 ✺
English National League
01.02.20	Fylde - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTWL
- Notts County
English FA Trophy
29.02.20	Notts County - Aveley	5:0 ✺
English National League
22.02.20	Hartlepool United - Notts County	2:0 ✺
15.02.20	Notts County - Woking	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.02.20	Yeovil Town - Notts County	1:2 ✺
English National League
01.02.20	Notts County - Chesterfield	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
28.09.19	Notts County - Fylde	2:0

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