The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartlepool United 39.9%
Draw 29.3%
Notts County 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
29.2%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
21.3%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hartlepool United - Notts County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to National League (Play Offs: Semitofinals) and 5 in the zone Promotion to National League (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).
Hartlepool is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Notts County is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hartlepool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.