Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 22Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Gévora |
|
Jaraíz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.98 |
3.15 |
2.18 |
|
 |
2.73 |
3.2 |
2.38 |
|
 |
2.12 |
2.78 |
4.00 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
3 |
2.4 |
|
 |
2.73 |
3.14 |
2.34 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.14 |
2.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(3.53) |
3.07 ↓
(3.3) |
2.62 ↑
(1.94) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gévora
34.5% | Draw
30.1% | Jaraíz
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gévora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gévora's performance.Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaraíz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gévora than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gévora that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaraíz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Gévora - Jaraíz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. Jaraíz might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gévora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Gevora | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
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| 13 | Jaraiz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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