Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 20

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Gżira United		Hamrun Spartans

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.52	Watch
	5.43	3.76	1.54
	5.48	4.1	1.51	Watch
	5.75	3.5	1.53
	5.98	3.74	1.5
	5.33	3.75	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.58 ↓ (6.3)	3.76 ↓ (4.05)	1.51 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gżira United
16.2%

Draw
24.1%

Hamrun Spartans
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

22.2%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.8%

21.5%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gżira United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Hamrun Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamrun Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Colombo E. (G) 5. Abela D. 19. Bastic S. 57. Bonilla J. 6. Borg A. 8. Borg B. 13. Failla C. 10. Maxuell Samurai (C) 23. N’sa C. 14. Riascos L. 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.	1. Bonello H. (C) 7. Attard S. 31. Bulevardi D. 94. Camenzuli R. 24. Ceter D. 91. Emerson 8. Garcia M. 6. Guillaumier M. 10. Mbong J. 13. Polito V. 2. Rafael Compri
Substitutes
28. Cassar N. 29. Dimech J. P. 11. Farrugia D. 20. Galea K. (G) 25. Ghigo G. 7. Martinez S. 3. Mentz G. 4. Previ A. 2. Ramos P. 24. Roh S. 1. Sargent K. (G)	12. Camilleri M. (G) 16. Camilleri S. 4. Cassar J. 98. Celio (G) 25. Ederson 47. El Fanis M. 55. Hili K. 49. Jonny 5. Xerri S.
Coaches
Abdilla D.	Modica G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Attard S. ↓, Jonny ↑,
64', Bonilla J. 🟨,
68', Bonilla J. ↓, Farrugia D. ↑,
75', Borg B. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
86', Van de Bovenkamp M. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 1.

Gżira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hamrun is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hamrun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hamrun has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hamrun is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gżira won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gżira won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hamrun	6	3	1	2	9:6	3	10
11	Gzira	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
31.01.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Gżira United	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Gżira United - Birkirkara	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Gżira United - Marsaxlokk	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Paola Hibernians - Gżira United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLL
- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League
31.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
27.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Fgura United	5:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
24.01.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Tarxien Rainbows	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
20.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:0
02.03.25	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	0:1
07.11.24	Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans	1:2
13.04.24	Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans	0:1
13.12.23	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	2:1
11.03.23	Hamrun Spartans - Gżira United	1:0
30.10.22	Gżira United - Hamrun Spartans	1:2

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