Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 27

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Sliema Wanderers		Gżira United

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4.15
	1.8	3.33	4.37
	1.79	3.41	4.24	Watch
	1.8	3	4.33
	1.74	3.28	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.72)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)	4.32 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sliema Wanderers
51%

Draw
27.9%

Gżira United
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.5%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sliema Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sliema Wanderers (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sliema Wanderers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Al Tumi R. (G) 77. Awad M. 2. Borg J. 11. Djuranovic U. 15. Gustavo Alcino 31. Murilo Henrique 7. Overend A. 70. Pisani S. (C) 12. Prsa R. 19. Seruca A. 93. Thiaguinho	33. Colombo E. (G) 5. Abela D. 9. Andre Carlos 19. Bastic S. 6. Borg A. 13. Failla C. 10. Maxuell Samurai 3. Mentz G. (C) 23. N’sa C. 96. Stojanovic M. 30. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
18. Agius E. 25. Agu E. (G) 6. Belfiore J. F. 27. Djuric D. 5. Frendo N. 1. Lauri F. (G) 95. Marcelo Santos 3. Micallef N. 9. Plut V. 4. Stagno A. 21. Strickland N.	57. Bonilla J. 28. Cassar N. 11. Farrugia D. 20. Galea K. (G) 4. Gove T. 98. Kante 7. Martinez S. 29. Previ A. 14. Riascos L. 1. Sargent K. (G) 22. Van de Bovenkamp M.
Coaches
Doffo P.	Abdilla D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Djuranovic U. ⚽,
36', Andre Carlos 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Prsa R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bastic S. ↓, Kante ↑,
46', Mentz G. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
61', Overend A. 🟨,
70', Pisani S. 🟨,
77', Overend A. ↓, Frendo N. ↑,
77', Djuranovic U. ↓, Plut V. ↑,
79', Seruca A. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Murilo Henrique (Own goal),
81', Murilo Henrique 🟨,
84', Awad M. ↓, Micallef N. ↑,
85', Xuereb D. ↓, Farrugia D. ↑,
89', Plut V. 🟨,
90', Borg A. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
90+1', Prsa R. ↓, Agius E. ↑,
90+2', Al Tumi R. 🟨,
90+3', Maxuell Samurai 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )).

Gżira is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 3.

Sliema Wanderers has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gżira is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gżira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sliema Wanderers has had a series of away games.

Recently, Gżira has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sliema Wanderers is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Sliema Wanderers won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sliema Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sliema	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
11	Gzira	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Premier League
07.03.26	Sliema Wanderers - Floriana	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Valletta - Sliema Wanderers	0:1 ✺
17.02.26	Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Naxxar Lions - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWTT
- Gżira United
Maltese Premier League
07.03.26	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	1:0 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.03.26	Gżira United - Mosta	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
28.02.26	Gżira United - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
25.02.26	Gżira United - Paola Hibernians	3:2 ✺
Maltese Premier League
22.02.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
24.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	2:0
15.02.25	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	0:1
21.09.24	Gżira United - Sliema Wanderers	2:2
03.03.24	Gżira United - Sliema Wanderers	0:2
29.10.23	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	1:0
Maltese FA Trophy
15.01.23	Gżira United - Sliema Wanderers	2:0
Maltese Premier League
18.01.22	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	1:3

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