Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 13

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday


	GE Bagé		Brasil de Farroupilha

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	5.5
	1.63	3.23	5.45
	1.20	5.43	16.75	Watch
	1.59	3.34	5.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)	3.8 ↑ (3.27)	8.39 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GE Bagé
63.4%

Draw
25.2%

Brasil de Farroupilha
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

27.7%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

26.5%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GE Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GE Bagé's performance.

Brasil de Farroupilha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GE Bagé than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Farroupilha than the current prediction. (+4%)

GE Bagé - Brasil de Farroupilha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Sampson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Recent performances by GE Bagé have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brasil Farroupilha is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

GE Bagé may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, GE Bagé is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GE Bagé
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
11.07.25	GE Bagé - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Lajeadense - GE Bagé	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	GE Bagé - Aimoré	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	GE Bagé - Inter Santa Maria	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Gaúcho - GE Bagé	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLTT
- Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
16.07.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - Inter Santa Maria	1:1 ✺
10.07.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - GE Glória	1:0 ✺
02.07.25	Veranopolis - Brasil de Farroupilha	3:1 ✺
24.06.25	Lajeadense - Brasil de Farroupilha	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - Aimoré	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLL

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