Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 29

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Belchatow)


	GKS Bełchatów		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	2.07	3.41	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 (2.07)	3.41 (3.41)	2.82 (2.82)

The best margin for this event is 13.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
42.7%

Draw
25.9%

Olimpia Elbląg
31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

24.1%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for GKS Bełchatów have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Olimpia Elbląg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 14 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 1.

Bełchatów has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elbląg is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bełchatów will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Elbląg - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - GKS Bełchatów	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Warta Sieradz	3:3 ✺
12.04.26	Wasilków - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - GKS Bełchatów	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTLLW
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Mławianka Mława	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Troszyn - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Legia II	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łomża	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.10.25	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	4:1
Polish Division 2
11.09.21	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	2:1
23.03.19	GKS Bełchatów - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1
01.09.18	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	0:1
28.04.18	GKS Bełchatów - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1
30.09.17	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	1:0
01.04.17	Olimpia Elbląg - GKS Bełchatów	1:2

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