Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 28

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach (Suwałki)


	Wigry Suwałki		GKS Bełchatów

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.85	4.75
	1.44	4.22	5.1
	1.47	4.46	5.3	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.41	4.3	6.24	Watch
	1.46	4.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 (1.46)	4.17 ↓ (4.3)	5.35 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
61.6%

Draw
21.6%

GKS Bełchatów
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

20.6%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

19.9%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Wigry Suwałki - GKS Bełchatów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, Kosciuk W. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, Modzelewski P. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigry won 1.

Wigry is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Bełchatów has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wigry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wigry is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wigry won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wigry won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.04.26	Legia II - Wigry Suwałki	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Wigry Suwałki - ŁKS Łomża	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Wikielec - Wigry Suwałki	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Wigry Suwałki - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Wisła Płock II - Wigry Suwałki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWT
- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Warta Sieradz	3:3 ✺
12.04.26	Wasilków - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	GKS Bełchatów - Mławianka Mława	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - GKS Bełchatów	1:4 ✺
21.03.26	GKS Bełchatów - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wigry Suwałki	0:0
08.03.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wigry Suwałki	2:2
Polish Division 2
23.10.21	Wigry Suwałki - GKS Bełchatów	2:1
Polish Division 1
28.06.20	Wigry Suwałki - GKS Bełchatów	2:4
29.09.19	GKS Bełchatów - Wigry Suwałki	3:0
Polish Cup
22.07.17	GKS Bełchatów - Wigry Suwałki	2:1
Polish Division 1
11.05.16	Wigry Suwałki - GKS Bełchatów	2:2

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