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Current Win Probability
GKS Jastrzębie 17.2%
Draw 22.9%
Podhale Nowy Targ 59.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17%
24.1%
59%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.7%
23.6%
60.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
GKS Jastrzębie - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Neugebauer B. (G) 22. Baranowicz B. 14. Gosciniarek K. 18. Kakolewski I. 17. Koczy K. 3. Kriegler B. 6. Maszkowski S. 9. Matysek S. 16. Mroczko S. 2. Tomal J. 4. Wybraniec N.
1. Styrczula M. (G) 20. Chojecki A. 99. Giel P. 30. Kumorek M. 87. Kurzeja B. 19. Michota M. 10. Nowak A. 16. Rubis J. 2. Salak K. 7. Seweryn L. 8. Vaclavik R.
Substitutes
23. Bykowski M. 21. Gardjan S. 15. Gromek W. 11. Jakuc O. 1. Molga M. (G) 20. Osipiak M. 19. Sawicki W. 7. Siga J. 13. Zielinski B.
33. Fratczak D. (G) 14. Hamed M. 18. Kozarzewski A. 31. Kupczak M. 29. Marcinho 23. Mikolajczyk B. 27. Pena C. 11. Purcha B. 21. Vosko P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Kurzeja B. ⚽,
18', 🟨,
39', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Vaclavik R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 🟨,
66', 0 - 3, Marcinho ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
GKS Jastrzębie is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Podhale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Podhale is the clear favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.