Match Info

Division 2 - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Jastrzębie		Chojniczanka Chojnice

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.75
	4.65	3.8	1.58
	3.78	3.79	1.79
	4.44	3.54	1.76	Watch
	4.95	3.9	1.64	Watch
	3.8	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.65)	3.66 ↑ (3.48)	1.73 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
21.7%

Draw
25.1%

Chojniczanka Chojnice
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.3%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Chojniczanka Chojnice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chojniczanka Chojnice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

GKS Jastrzębie - Chojniczanka Chojnice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molga M. (G) 22. Baranowicz B. 23. Bykowski M. 10. Gebala P. 11. Jakuc O. 3. Kriegler B. 9. Matysek S. 16. Mroczko S. 20. Osipiak M. 2. Tomal J. 4. Wybraniec N. (C)	29. Primel D. (G) 22. Bykov O. 24. Eizenchart B. 9. Firlej M. 21. Golinski J. 10. Kaminski D. 69. Michalik D. 66. Olejnik P. 20. Sabala V. (C) 7. Szczepanek B. 3. Yukhymovych D.
Substitutes
5. Bednorz K. 14. Gosciniarek K. 15. Gromek W. 12. Herman S. (G) 18. Kakolewski I. 17. Koczy K. 6. Maszkowski S. 13. Zielinski B.	1. Antkowiak M. (G) 2. Bakowicz M. 14. Gutowski K. 16. Kacerik A. 15. Lemka D. 34. Nowacki D. 77. Plawski J. 8. Shibata S. 31. Zywicki J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, ⚽,
66', 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 0.

GKS Jastrzębie has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chojniczanka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chojniczanka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Chojniczanka Chojnice - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.82%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
30.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Swit Skolwin - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Sokół Kleczew - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.25	KKS Kalisz - GKS Jastrzębie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLLLW
- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
31.08.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - KKS Kalisz	3:3 ✺
15.08.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
19.04.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0
22.09.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1
06.05.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:4
22.10.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0
Polish Division 1
26.06.20	GKS Jastrzębie - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:3
29.09.19	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1
03.12.18	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1

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