Match Info

Division 2 - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Jastrzębie		Warta Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	2.98	3.15	2.18
	3.2	3.28	2.2
	3.72	2.20	2.84	Watch
	3	3	2.2
	3.03	3.54	2.19	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.77)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	2.29 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
29.9%

Draw
30%

Warta Poznań
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.1%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molga M. (G) 22. Baranowicz B. 23. Bykowski M. 10. Gebala P. 14. Gosciniarek K. 11. Jakuc O. 5. Kriegler B. 9. Matysek S. 16. Mroczko S. 20. Osipiak M. 4. Wybraniec N. (C)	42. Przybylak L. (G) 24. Avdeev D. 16. Kornobis I. 8. Kumoch K. (C) 3. Michalski S. 13. Niedzielski J. 99. Smoczynski M. 19. Szymanek K. 7. Walus F. 4. Wojcinowicz T. 74. Zalewski S.
Substitutes
15. Gromek W. 12. Herman S. (G) 18. Kakolewski I. 17. Koczy K. 19. Sawicki W. 2. Tomal J. 13. Zielinski B.	51. Gaza A. . Kosiorek J. (G) 2. Lepczynski K. 29. Rychert K. . Rychlik J. 47. Stanczak I. . Stanek M. 17. Stefaniak M. 28. Tonder F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Michalski S. (Own goal),
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Kornobis I. ⚽,
80', 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 0.

GKS Jastrzębie is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Warta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Warta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Warta has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
23.08.25	Swit Skolwin - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
15.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Sokół Kleczew - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.25	KKS Kalisz - GKS Jastrzębie	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
02.08.25	GKS Jastrzębie - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LLLWT
- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 2
22.08.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	2:2 ✺
17.08.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Swit Skolwin - Warta Poznań	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.25	Warta Poznań - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
03.08.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Warta Poznań	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
31.08.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań	0:2
Polish Division 1
03.06.20	GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań	1:2
25.08.19	Warta Poznań - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1
20.04.19	Warta Poznań - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0
29.09.18	GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań	0:0
Polish Division 2
14.04.18	GKS Jastrzębie - Warta Poznań	0:2
16.09.17	Warta Poznań - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0

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