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Current Win Probability
GKS Tychy 40.5%
Draw 28%
Puszcza Niepołomice 31.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
26.3%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
27.5%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Tychy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Tychy's form might have worsened.
Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Tychy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Madrzyk J. (G) 3. Teclaw J. 26. Lasicki I. 2. Silva L. 47. Jankowski B. 8. Szpakowski M. 4. Lipkowski K. 15. Bieronski J. 9. Rumin D. 90. Welniak K. 20. Krawczyk P.
31. Perchel M. (G) 67. Barczak N. 34. Piekarski A. 2. Kasolik K. 8. Mrozinski P. 70. Hajda W. 16. Walski M. 17. Iwao K. 88. Nascimento F. 10. Cholewiak M. 14. Gjoni A.
Substitutes
24. Baranski B. 92. Kadzior D. 37. Keiblinger J. 31. Kolotylo K. (G) 10. Listkowski M. 29. Lysiak P. 11. Sandoval D. 18. Stefansson O. 30. Wuwer J.
22. Kikis 11. Korczakowski O. 97. Kowal W. (G) 28. Pieprzyca I. 9. Smiglewski K. 27. Solowiej L. 19. Stec J. 7. Stepien M.
Coaches
Piszczek L.
Tulacz T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Krawczyk P. ⚽,
34', Jankowski B. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Gjoni A. ⚽, Kasolik K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Lasicki I. 🟨,
65', Lasicki I. 🟥,
70', Jankowski B. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
71', Welniak K. ↓, Keiblinger J. ↑,
71', Krawczyk P. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
71', Szpakowski M. ↓, Stefansson O. ↑,
80', Walski M. ↓, Kikis ↑,
80', Iwao K. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,
81', Rumin D. 🟨,
82', Rumin D. ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Mrozinski P. ⚽, Hajda W. (A),
88', Gjoni A. ↓, Smiglewski K. ↑,
90+2', Hajda W. ↓, Stec J. ↑,
90+3', Cholewiak M. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 3.
GKS Tychy is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Puszcza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Puszcza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Puszcza has had a series of home games.
GKS Tychy could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, GKS Tychy won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, GKS Tychy won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).